The edge goes to the Lakers at home against the Suns on Sunday, April 11, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Lakers 73%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 111, Los Angeles Lakers 118. The rating gap is 75 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Suns are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -12.8. The Lakers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.
The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Suns score 109.3 a game and allow 123.7. The Lakers score 128 and allow 115. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 112.2 for the Suns and 125.9 for the Lakers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Lakers have been tough to score on, which should slow the Suns.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Cameron Carr (LAL), and Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX) and Walker Kessler (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 5-4, with the Suns outscoring the Lakers by an average of 3 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 73, LAL 101.