Sacramento Kings at LA Clippers on Sunday, April 11 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Clippers about a 83% chance, and the Kings would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 83%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 110, LA Clippers 120. The rating gap is 179 points in favor of the Clippers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Offense against defense
The Kings score 109.3 a game and allow 124. The Clippers score 113 and allow 109.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 109.5 for the Kings and 118.5 for the Clippers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Kings have defended better than the Clippers have scored, so the Clippers may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 10, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Keegan Murray (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, and Sean Pedulla (SAC).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 8-1, with the Clippers outscoring the Kings by an average of 12.9 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 96, LAC 121.