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Chicago Bulls at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Chicago Bulls → New Orleans Pelicans →

The edge goes to the Pelicans at home against the Bulls on Sunday, April 11, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pelicans 69%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 112, New Orleans Pelicans 117. The rating gap is 42 points in favor of the Pelicans, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.

Recent form

The Bulls are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -19.2. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Bulls score 110.8 a game and allow 129.5. The Pelicans score 124.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 119.4 for the Bulls and 127.1 for the Pelicans, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Pelicans have been tough to score on, which should slow the Bulls.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026 and Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pelicans lead 4-1, with the Pelicans outscoring the Bulls by an average of 5 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 118, CHI 134.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bulls1-4, -19.2 avg margin
Pelicans0-5, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
110.8
124.7
Points allowed
129.5
128
Matchup math
119.4
127.1
■ Bulls■ Pelicans

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Pelicans: about 127.1 points expected against 119.4.
  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Dec 31: NOP 118, CHI 134
  • Dec 14: NOP 114, CHI 104
  • Nov 24: CHI 130, NOP 143
  • Jan 14: NOP 119, CHI 113
  • Oct 23: CHI 111, NOP 123

Injury report

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Patrick Williams Day to day · back Oct 28
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Out · back Nov 2

Win Meter

31%
69%
BullsPelicans

Projected score: Bulls 112, Pelicans 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

31%
69%
BullsPelicans

Matchup at a glance

CHINOP
Record1-30-3
Last 5LLWLLLLLLL
Points per game110.8124.7
Allowed per game129.5128
Days of rest––
Rating13661408

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