The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers at home against the Hawks on Sunday, April 11, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 65%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 113, Cleveland Cavaliers 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Cavaliers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.4.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hawks score 121 a game and allow 111.8. The Cavaliers score 119.3 and allow 120. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 120.5 for the Hawks and 115.6 for the Cavaliers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Cavaliers should find points against the Hawks' defense, which has been giving up 111.8.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027 and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 4-3, with the Hawks outscoring the Cavaliers by an average of 2.9 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 102, ATL 124.