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Toronto Raptors at Brooklyn Nets: preview and Win Meter

Toronto Raptors → Brooklyn Nets →

Recent form is the story in Toronto Raptors at Brooklyn Nets on Sunday, April 11. The Raptors have won 3 of their last 5, while the Nets have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Raptors 72%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 118, Brooklyn Nets 112. The rating gap is 263 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

The recent-form gap

The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.

The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Raptors score 113.7 a game and allow 103.7. The Nets score 111 and allow 123.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 118.7 for the Raptors and 107.4 for the Nets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Nets have been tough to score on, which should slow the Raptors.

The Nets should find points against the Raptors' defense, which has been giving up 103.7.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kawhi Leonard (TOR), expected back Nov 23, 2026, Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), and Grant Nelson (BKN).

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 6-2, with the Raptors outscoring the Nets by an average of 11.4 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 101, TOR 136.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Raptors3-2, +4 avg margin
Nets0-5, -18 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
113.7
111
Points allowed
103.7
123.7
Matchup math
118.7
107.4
■ Raptors■ Nets

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Raptors: about 118.7 points expected against 107.4.
  • The Raptors arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-L against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Nets.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 12: BKN 101, TOR 136
  • Dec 21: TOR 81, BKN 96
  • Nov 23: BKN 109, TOR 119
  • Nov 11: TOR 119, BKN 109
  • Apr 6: TOR 120, BKN 109

Injury report

Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Kawhi Leonard Out · back Nov 23
Brooklyn Nets
  • Tyler Bilodeau Out · back Oct 30
  • Joshua Jefferson Out
  • Grant Nelson Out
  • Drake Powell Out
  • Ben Saraf Out

Win Meter

72%
28%
RaptorsNets

Projected score: Raptors 118, Nets 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

72%
28%
RaptorsNets

Matchup at a glance

TORBKN
Record2-10-3
Last 5WLWWLLLLLL
Points per game113.7111
Allowed per game103.7123.7
Days of rest––
Rating15471284

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