Game preview · Fri 6:30 PM MT

Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Houston Rockets →

The Win Meter favors the Rockets at home against the Trail Blazers on Friday, April 9, at about 71%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Rockets 71%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 112, Houston Rockets 117. The rating gap is 58 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Rockets are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.8.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 29, 2026, Jayson Kent (POR), and Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Branden Carlson (POR), Scoot Henderson (POR), and Marcus Smart (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 4-3, with the Rockets outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 9.7 points per game. The last meeting was POR 99, HOU 106.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Rockets4-1, +3.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (L-W-W-W-W against L-L-L-W-W).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Rockets.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 6: POR 99, HOU 106
  • Jan 9: HOU 105, POR 111
  • Jan 7: HOU 102, POR 103
  • Nov 14: POR 116, HOU 140
  • Jan 18: HOU 125, POR 103

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 29
  • Branden Carlson Questionable · back Oct 27
  • Scoot Henderson Questionable · back Oct 27
  • Jayson Kent Out
Houston Rockets
  • Steven Adams Out · back Nov 2
  • Marcus Smart Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

29%
71%
Trail BlazersRockets

Projected score: Trail Blazers 112, Rockets 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

29%
71%
Trail BlazersRockets

Matchup at a glance

PORHOU
Record2-04-0
Last 5LLLWWLWWWW
Points per game126120.8
Allowed per game101.5111
Days of rest––
Rating15441602

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