The edge goes to the Bulls at home against the Bucks on Friday, April 9, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Bulls 64%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 113, Chicago Bulls 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.
Recent form
The Bucks are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Bulls are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -19.2.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Bucks score 116.8 a game and allow 122.3. The Bulls score 110.8 and allow 129.5. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 123.2 for the Bucks and 116.6 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bulls have been tough to score on, which should slow the Bucks.
The Bucks have defended better than the Bulls have scored, so the Bulls may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 5-4, with the Bucks outscoring the Bulls by an average of 3.6 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 132, MIL 125.