Our ratings lean toward the Magic at home against the Raptors on Friday, April 9, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Raptors are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Magic 63%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 113, Orlando Magic 116. The rating gap is 9 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Raptors would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The Magic are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Raptors score 113.7 a game and allow 103.7. The Magic score 109.7 and allow 116.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115 for the Raptors and 106.7 for the Magic, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Magic should find points against the Raptors' defense, which has been giving up 103.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kawhi Leonard (TOR), expected back Nov 23, 2026, Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 5-2, with the Raptors outscoring the Magic by an average of 7.6 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 87, TOR 139.