The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers on the road against the Pacers on Friday, April 9, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 63%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 116, Indiana Pacers 113. The rating gap is 196 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.4. The Pacers are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 136-109 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Cavaliers score 119.3 a game and allow 120. The Pacers score 116.5 and allow 115. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117.2 for the Cavaliers and 118.3 for the Pacers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
Injuries to watch
Out: T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ivica Zubac (IND) and Andrew Nembhard (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 7-6, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Pacers by an average of 0.6 points per game. The last meeting was IND 108, CLE 117.