The edge goes to the Nuggets at home against the Clippers on Thursday, April 8, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Clippers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 69%, with a projected score of LA Clippers 112, Denver Nuggets 117. The rating gap is 37 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Clippers would win.
Recent form
The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2. The Nuggets are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -5.2.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
The Nuggets were beaten 134-114 at home by GSW not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Clippers score 113 a game and allow 109.7. The Nuggets score 113 and allow 121.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117.4 for the Clippers and 111.4 for the Nuggets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Nuggets have been tough to score on, which should slow the Clippers.
Injuries to watch
Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Cameron Johnson (DEN) and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 8-6, with the Nuggets outscoring the Clippers by an average of 4.1 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 114, LAC 115.