Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, April 7 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Raptors about a 89% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 89%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 108, Toronto Raptors 121. The rating gap is 263 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 9 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Nets score 111 a game and allow 123.7. The Raptors score 113.7 and allow 103.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 107.4 for the Nets and 118.7 for the Raptors, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Nets' offense is the stronger unit against the Raptors' defense.
The Nets have defended better than the Raptors have scored, so the Raptors may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), Grant Nelson (BKN), Drake Powell (BKN), and Ben Saraf (BKN).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 6-2, with the Raptors outscoring the Nets by an average of 11.4 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 101, TOR 136.