Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic on Wednesday, April 7 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Magic at only 54%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Magic 54%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 114, Orlando Magic 115. The rating gap is 75 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 46 times in 100 games like this, the Celtics would win.
Recent form
The Celtics are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.8. The Magic are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.
The Celtics' best recent win was 134-99 at home against CHI.
The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Celtics score 118 a game and allow 107.7. The Magic score 109.7 and allow 116.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117.2 for the Celtics and 108.7 for the Magic, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
Injuries to watch
Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Paolo Banchero (ORL), expected back Nov 22, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 8-4, with the Celtics outscoring the Magic by an average of 6 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 108, BOS 113.