Minnesota Timberwolves at LA Clippers on Tuesday, April 6 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Clippers at only 52%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 52%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 114, LA Clippers 115. The rating gap is 87 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 48 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Offense against defense
The Timberwolves score 122 a game and allow 105. The Clippers score 113 and allow 109.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.9 for the Timberwolves and 109 for the Clippers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Timberwolves' offense is the stronger unit against the Clippers' defense.
The Clippers should find points against the Timberwolves' defense, which has been giving up 105.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 5-2, with the Clippers outscoring the Timberwolves by an average of 0.6 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 128, LAC 153.