The edge goes to the Bucks at home against the Bulls on Tuesday, April 6, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Bucks 64%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 113, Milwaukee Bucks 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.
Recent form
The Bulls are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -19.2. The Bucks are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Bulls score 110.8 a game and allow 129.5. The Bucks score 116.8 and allow 122.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 116.6 for the Bulls and 123.2 for the Bucks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bucks have been tough to score on, which should slow the Bulls.
The Bulls have defended better than the Bucks have scored, so the Bucks may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 5-4, with the Bucks outscoring the Bulls by an average of 3.6 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 132, MIL 125.