The Win Meter favors the Pistons on the road against the Grizzlies on Tuesday, April 6, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pistons 73%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 118, Memphis Grizzlies 112. The rating gap is 272 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Pistons are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.6. The Grizzlies are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.6.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 132-101 on the road by HOU not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Pistons score 118.3 a game and allow 105.7. The Grizzlies score 116.8 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 112.7 for the Pistons and 111.3 for the Grizzlies, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pistons' offense is the stronger unit against the Grizzlies' defense.
The Grizzlies should find points against the Pistons' defense, which has been giving up 105.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Isaiah Joe (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), and Isaac Jones (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Pistons by an average of 0.5 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 110, DET 126.