New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday, April 6 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Knicks at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 53%, with a projected score of New York Knicks 115, Atlanta Hawks 115. The rating gap is 122 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.
Recent form
The Knicks are 1-3 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.2. The Hawks are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Knicks score 104 a game and allow 105.3. The Hawks score 121 and allow 111.8. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 107.9 for the Knicks and 113.2 for the Hawks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Hawks have been tough to score on, which should slow the Knicks.
The Hawks should find points against the Knicks' defense, which has been giving up 105.3.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027 and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jose Alvarado (NYK), RayJ Dennis (ATL), Zuby Ejiofor (ATL), and Keshon Gilbert (ATL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 9-5, with the Knicks outscoring the Hawks by an average of 8 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 140, ATL 89.