Game preview · Tue 5:30 PM MT

Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Toronto Raptors →

The edge goes to the Raptors at home against the 76ers on Tuesday, April 6, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the 76ers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Raptors 64%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 113, Toronto Raptors 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the 76ers would win.

Recent form

The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.

Offense against defense

The 76ers score 110 a game and allow 107. The Raptors score 113.7 and allow 103.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 106.9 for the 76ers and 110.4 for the Raptors, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The 76ers' offense is the stronger unit against the Raptors' defense.

The Raptors should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI), Joel Embiid (PHI), and Kawhi Leonard (TOR). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 6-2, with the Raptors outscoring the 76ers by an average of 3.6 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 115, TOR 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers3-2, -3.6 avg margin
Raptors3-2, +4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
110
113.7
Points allowed
107
103.7
Matchup math
106.9
110.4
■ 76ers■ Raptors

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Raptors: about 110.4 points expected against 106.9.
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Raptors.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 12: PHI 115, TOR 102
  • Jan 11: PHI 115, TOR 116
  • Nov 19: TOR 121, PHI 112
  • Nov 8: TOR 120, PHI 130
  • Mar 30: TOR 127, PHI 109

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 28
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Joel Embiid Day to day · back Oct 28
Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Kawhi Leonard Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

36%
64%
76ersRaptors

Projected score: 76ers 113, Raptors 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
76ersRaptors

Matchup at a glance

PHITOR
Record3-12-1
Last 5LWWWLWLWWL
Points per game110113.7
Allowed per game107103.7
Days of rest––
Rating15461547

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