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Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Utah Jazz →

Our ratings lean toward the Trail Blazers on the road against the Jazz on Sunday, April 4, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 68%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 117, Utah Jazz 112. The rating gap is 233 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Jazz would win.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Jazz are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.4.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 29, 2026, Jayson Kent (POR), Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, and Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Branden Carlson (POR), Scoot Henderson (POR), Jaxson Hayes (UTA), and Lauri Markkanen (UTA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 6-2, with the Trail Blazers outscoring the Jazz by an average of 0.4 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 114, POR 124.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Jazz1-4, -11.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Jazz.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 13: UTA 114, POR 124
  • Feb 12: POR 135, UTA 119
  • Jan 5: UTA 117, POR 137
  • Oct 29: POR 136, UTA 134
  • Apr 9: POR 126, UTA 133

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 29
  • Branden Carlson Questionable · back Oct 27
  • Scoot Henderson Questionable · back Oct 27
  • Jayson Kent Out
Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Out · back Oct 28
  • Jaxson Hayes Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Lauri Markkanen Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

68%
32%
Trail BlazersJazz

Projected score: Trail Blazers 117, Jazz 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

68%
32%
Trail BlazersJazz

Matchup at a glance

PORUTA
Record2-01-3
Last 5LLLWWLLWLL
Points per game126112.8
Allowed per game101.5121
Days of rest––
Rating15441311

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