Game preview · Sun 2:30 PM MT

Phoenix Suns at LA Clippers: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → LA Clippers →

Our ratings lean toward the Clippers at home against the Suns on Sunday, April 4, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Clippers 65%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 113, LA Clippers 117. The rating gap is 11 points in favor of the Clippers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Suns would win.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -12.8. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.

Offense against defense

The Suns score 109.3 a game and allow 123.7. The Clippers score 113 and allow 109.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 109.5 for the Suns and 118.4 for the Clippers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Suns have defended better than the Clippers have scored, so the Clippers may need to find offense elsewhere.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 6-2, with the Clippers outscoring the Suns by an average of 1.8 points per game. The last meeting was LAC 117, PHX 93.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -12.8 avg margin
Clippers2-3, +2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
109.3
113
Points allowed
123.7
109.7
Matchup math
109.5
118.4
■ Suns■ Clippers

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Clippers: about 118.4 points expected against 109.5.
  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Clippers.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 1: LAC 117, PHX 93
  • Nov 8: PHX 114, LAC 103
  • Nov 6: LAC 102, PHX 115
  • Oct 24: PHX 102, LAC 129
  • Mar 4: LAC 117, PHX 119

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 30
LA Clippers
  • Bradley Beal Out · back Nov 8
  • Max Strus Out · back Nov 8
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out · back Nov 8
  • Brandon Ingram Out · back Nov 8
  • Jordan Miller Out · back Mar 2

Win Meter

35%
65%
SunsClippers

Projected score: Suns 113, Clippers 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

35%
65%
SunsClippers

Matchup at a glance

PHXLAC
Record1-21-2
Last 5LLLWLWLWLL
Points per game109.3113
Allowed per game123.7109.7
Days of rest––
Rating15081519

More