The Win Meter favors the Bucks at home against the Nets on Sunday, April 4, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Nets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Bucks 74%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 111, Milwaukee Bucks 118. The rating gap is 78 points in favor of the Bucks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Bucks are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Nets score 111 a game and allow 123.7. The Bucks score 116.8 and allow 122.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 116.7 for the Nets and 120.3 for the Bucks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bucks have been tough to score on, which should slow the Nets.
The Nets have defended better than the Bucks have scored, so the Bucks may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), Grant Nelson (BKN), Drake Powell (BKN), and Ben Saraf (BKN).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nets lead 5-3, with the Nets outscoring the Bucks by an average of 4.2 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 108, MIL 125.