Our ratings lean toward the 76ers at home against the Hawks on Sunday, April 4, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the 76ers 60%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 113, Philadelphia 76ers 116. The rating gap is 27 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hawks score 121 a game and allow 111.8. The 76ers score 110 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 114 for the Hawks and 110.9 for the 76ers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Hawks' offense is the stronger unit against the 76ers' defense.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI) and Joel Embiid (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 7-0, with the Hawks outscoring the 76ers by an average of 9.4 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 116, ATL 125.