Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic on Saturday, April 3 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Magic about a 88% chance, and the Wizards would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Magic 88%, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 108, Orlando Magic 121. The rating gap is 245 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Wizards are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Magic are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.
The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Wizards score 114.3 a game and allow 114.5. The Magic score 109.7 and allow 116.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.3 for the Wizards and 112.1 for the Magic, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Justin Champagnie (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Magic lead 7-1, with the Magic outscoring the Wizards by an average of 14.9 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 131, ORL 136.