The edge goes to the Spurs on the road against the Clippers on Friday, April 2, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Clippers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 59%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 116, LA Clippers 113. The rating gap is 162 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Clippers would win.
Recent form
The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Offense against defense
The Spurs score 112 a game and allow 112. The Clippers score 113 and allow 109.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 110.9 for the Spurs and 112.5 for the Clippers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Spurs lead 4-3, with the Spurs outscoring the Clippers by an average of 5.3 points per game. The last meeting was SAS 118, LAC 99.