The edge goes to the Hornets on the road against the Bucks on Friday, April 2, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hornets 63%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 116, Milwaukee Bucks 113. The rating gap is 196 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.
Recent form
The Hornets are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.8. The Bucks are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hornets score 104 a game and allow 111. The Bucks score 116.8 and allow 122.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 113.2 for the Hornets and 113.9 for the Bucks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bucks have been tough to score on, which should slow the Hornets.
The Bucks should find points against the Hornets' defense, which has been giving up 111.
Injuries to watch
Out: Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, and Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 5-2, with the Bucks outscoring the Hornets by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 121, MIL 122.