New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets on Friday, April 2 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 85% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 85%, with a projected score of New York Knicks 120, Brooklyn Nets 109. The rating gap is 404 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Knicks are 0-3 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Knicks score 101.7 a game and allow 108. The Nets score 111 and allow 123.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 112.7 for the Knicks and 109.5 for the Nets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Nets have been tough to score on, which should slow the Knicks.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jose Alvarado (NYK), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), Grant Nelson (BKN), and Drake Powell (BKN).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 8-0, with the Knicks outscoring the Nets by an average of 16 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 93, BKN 92.