Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday, March 31 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Trail Blazers at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 56%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 114, Portland Trail Blazers 115. The rating gap is 58 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.
Recent form
The Rockets are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.8. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.
The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 29, 2026, and Jayson Kent (POR).
Day to day or questionable: Marcus Smart (HOU), Branden Carlson (POR), and Scoot Henderson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 4-3, with the Rockets outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 9.7 points per game. The last meeting was POR 99, HOU 106.