The Win Meter favors the Bucks at home against the Pelicans on Wednesday, March 31, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Bucks 58%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 114, Milwaukee Bucks 116. The rating gap is 46 points in favor of the Pelicans, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.
Recent form
The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Bucks are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Pelicans score 124.7 a game and allow 128. The Bucks score 116.8 and allow 122.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 123.5 for the Pelicans and 122.4 for the Bucks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pelicans have defended better than the Bucks have scored, so the Bucks may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 4-0, with the Bucks outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 13.5 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 139, NOP 118.