The edge goes to the Cavaliers on the road against the Nets on Wednesday, March 31, at about 75%. That is a real edge, but the Nets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 75%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 118, Brooklyn Nets 111. The rating gap is 293 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.4. The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Cavaliers score 119.3 a game and allow 120. The Nets score 111 and allow 123.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 121.5 for the Cavaliers and 115.5 for the Nets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Cavaliers have defended better than the Nets have scored, so the Nets may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), Grant Nelson (BKN), Drake Powell (BKN), and Ben Saraf (BKN).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 8-0, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Nets by an average of 11.9 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 121, CLE 125.