Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards on Wednesday, March 31 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Wizards at only 54%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Wizards 54%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 114, Washington Wizards 115. The rating gap is 73 points in favor of the Bulls, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 46 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.
Recent form
The Bulls are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -19.2. The Wizards are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Bulls score 110.8 a game and allow 129.5. The Wizards score 114.3 and allow 114.5. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 112.7 for the Bulls and 121.9 for the Wizards, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bulls have defended better than the Wizards have scored, so the Wizards may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, and AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Patrick Williams (CHI) and Justin Champagnie (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bulls lead 6-2, with the Bulls outscoring the Wizards by an average of 12.9 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 124, CHI 120.