Our ratings lean toward the 76ers at home against the Warriors on Wednesday, March 31, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Warriors are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the 76ers 74%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 111, Philadelphia 76ers 118. The rating gap is 85 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Warriors are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -5.8. The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6.
The Warriors' best recent win was 134-114 on the road against DEN.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Warriors score 117.3 a game and allow 120.8. The 76ers score 110 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 112.2 for the Warriors and 115.4 for the 76ers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Warriors' offense is the stronger unit against the 76ers' defense.
The Warriors have defended better than the 76ers have scored, so the 76ers may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI) and Joel Embiid (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the 76ers by an average of 1.7 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 113, GSW 94.