The Win Meter favors the Hawks at home against the Clippers on Wednesday, March 31, at about 71%. That is a real edge, but the Clippers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 71%, with a projected score of LA Clippers 112, Atlanta Hawks 117. The rating gap is 54 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2. The Hawks are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Clippers score 113 a game and allow 109.7. The Hawks score 121 and allow 111.8. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 112.4 for the Clippers and 115.4 for the Hawks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Hawks should find points against the Clippers' defense, which has been giving up 109.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 3-1, with the Clippers outscoring the Hawks by an average of 17.2 points per game. The last meeting was LAC 115, ATL 92.