The Win Meter favors the Lakers on the road against the Grizzlies on Tuesday, March 30, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Lakers 65%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 116, Memphis Grizzlies 113. The rating gap is 206 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.
Recent form
The Lakers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Grizzlies are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.6.
The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.
The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 132-101 on the road by HOU not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Lakers score 128 a game and allow 115. The Grizzlies score 116.8 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117.5 for the Lakers and 115.9 for the Grizzlies, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Lakers' offense is the stronger unit against the Grizzlies' defense.
Injuries to watch
Out: Cameron Carr (LAL) and Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Walker Kessler (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 6-1, with the Lakers outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 2.7 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 114, LAL 120.