The edge goes to the Celtics on the road against the Pacers on Tuesday, March 30, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 68%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 117, Indiana Pacers 112. The rating gap is 232 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Celtics are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.8. The Pacers are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2.
The Celtics' best recent win was 134-99 at home against CHI.
The Pacers' best recent win was 136-109 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Celtics score 118 a game and allow 107.7. The Pacers score 116.5 and allow 115. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 116.5 for the Celtics and 112.1 for the Pacers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pacers should find points against the Celtics' defense, which has been giving up 107.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ivica Zubac (IND) and Andrew Nembhard (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 4-3, with the Celtics outscoring the Pacers by an average of 9.1 points per game. The last meeting was IND 104, BOS 119.