The edge goes to the Warriors on the road against the Nets on Monday, March 29, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Nets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 61%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 116, Brooklyn Nets 113. The rating gap is 177 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Nets would win.
Recent form
The Warriors are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -5.8. The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.
The Warriors' best recent win was 134-114 on the road against DEN.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Warriors score 117.3 a game and allow 120.8. The Nets score 111 and allow 123.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 120.5 for the Warriors and 115.9 for the Nets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Nets have been tough to score on, which should slow the Warriors.
The Warriors have defended better than the Nets have scored, so the Nets may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Joshua Jefferson (BKN).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Nets by an average of 2.5 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 106, GSW 109.