The Win Meter favors the Nuggets at home against the 76ers on Sunday, March 28, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the 76ers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 65%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 113, Denver Nuggets 117. The rating gap is 10 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the 76ers would win.
Recent form
The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Nuggets are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -5.2.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 134-114 at home by GSW not long ago.
Offense against defense
The 76ers score 110 a game and allow 107. The Nuggets score 113 and allow 121.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.9 for the 76ers and 110 for the Nuggets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Nuggets have been tough to score on, which should slow the 76ers.
The Nuggets should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI), Joel Embiid (PHI), Cameron Johnson (DEN), and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 4-0, with the Nuggets outscoring the 76ers by an average of 16.8 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 96, DEN 124.