The Win Meter favors the Celtics on the road against the Pelicans on Sunday, March 28, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 65%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 116, New Orleans Pelicans 113. The rating gap is 205 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.
Recent form
The Celtics are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.8. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Celtics' best recent win was 134-99 at home against CHI.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Celtics score 118 a game and allow 107.7. The Pelicans score 124.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 123 for the Celtics and 116.2 for the Pelicans, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pelicans have been tough to score on, which should slow the Celtics.
The Pelicans should find points against the Celtics' defense, which has been giving up 107.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026 and Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 4-0, with the Celtics outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 15.2 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 118, BOS 144.