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Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets: preview and Win Meter

Memphis Grizzlies → Brooklyn Nets →

Recent form is the story in Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets on Sunday, March 28. The Grizzlies have won 4 of their last 5, while the Nets have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Nets 51%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 114, Brooklyn Nets 115. The rating gap is 93 points in favor of the Grizzlies, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 49 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.

The recent-form gap

The Grizzlies are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.6. The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 132-101 on the road by HOU not long ago.

The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Grizzlies score 116.8 a game and allow 107. The Nets score 111 and allow 123.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 120.3 for the Grizzlies and 109 for the Nets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Nets have been tough to score on, which should slow the Grizzlies.

Injuries to watch

Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), Grant Nelson (BKN), Drake Powell (BKN), and Ben Saraf (BKN).

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Nets lead 3-2, with the Nets outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 115, BKN 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Grizzlies4-1, +1.6 avg margin
Nets0-5, -18 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
116.8
111
Points allowed
107
123.7
Matchup math
120.3
109
■ Grizzlies■ Nets

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Grizzlies: about 120.3 points expected against 109.
  • The Grizzlies arrive in better form (L-W-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Nets.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 9: MEM 115, BKN 126
  • Jan 11: BKN 98, MEM 103
  • Dec 13: BKN 119, MEM 135
  • Nov 4: MEM 104, BKN 106
  • Oct 30: BKN 119, MEM 106

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies

No reported injuries.

Brooklyn Nets
  • Tyler Bilodeau Out · back Oct 30
  • Joshua Jefferson Out
  • Grant Nelson Out
  • Drake Powell Out
  • Ben Saraf Out

Win Meter

49%
51%
GrizzliesNets

Projected score: Grizzlies 114, Nets 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

49%
51%
GrizzliesNets

Matchup at a glance

MEMBKN
Record4-00-3
Last 5LWWWWLLLLL
Points per game116.8111
Allowed per game107123.7
Days of rest––
Rating13771284

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