Our ratings lean toward the Raptors on the road against the Kings on Saturday, March 27, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 65%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 117, Sacramento Kings 113. The rating gap is 207 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Raptors score 113.7 a game and allow 103.7. The Kings score 109.3 and allow 124. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 118.9 for the Raptors and 106.5 for the Kings, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Kings have been tough to score on, which should slow the Raptors.
The Kings should find points against the Raptors' defense, which has been giving up 103.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 10, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Keegan Murray (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Kawhi Leonard (TOR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Kings outscoring the Raptors by an average of 1.8 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 123, TOR 115.