Milwaukee Bucks at Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday, March 27 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Trail Blazers about a 83% chance, and the Bucks would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 83%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 110, Portland Trail Blazers 120. The rating gap is 182 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Bucks are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 29, 2026, and Jayson Kent (POR).
Day to day or questionable: Branden Carlson (POR) and Scoot Henderson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 4-0, with the Trail Blazers outscoring the Bucks by an average of 14.8 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 99, POR 130.