The Win Meter favors the Warriors on the road against the Wizards on Saturday, March 27, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 60%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 116, Washington Wizards 113. The rating gap is 168 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Wizards would win.
Recent form
The Warriors are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -5.8. The Wizards are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
The Warriors' best recent win was 134-114 on the road against DEN.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Warriors score 117.3 a game and allow 120.8. The Wizards score 114.3 and allow 114.5. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.9 for the Warriors and 117.6 for the Wizards, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Warriors have defended better than the Wizards have scored, so the Wizards may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Justin Champagnie (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 4-0, with the Warriors outscoring the Wizards by an average of 8.5 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 126, GSW 131.