Recent form is the story in San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons on Saturday, March 27. The Pistons have won 4 of their last 5, while the Spurs have won 1.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pistons 60%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 113, Detroit Pistons 116. The rating gap is 32 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Spurs would win.
The recent-form gap
The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1. The Pistons are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.6.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Spurs score 112 a game and allow 112. The Pistons score 118.3 and allow 105.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 108.9 for the Spurs and 115.2 for the Pistons, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Spurs' offense is the stronger unit against the Pistons' defense.
The Pistons should find points against the Spurs' defense, which has been giving up 112.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Isaiah Joe (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), and Isaac Jones (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Pistons outscoring the Spurs by an average of 3.8 points per game. The last meeting was DET 106, SAS 121.