LA Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday, March 26 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Thunder about a 85% chance, and the Clippers would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 85%, with a projected score of LA Clippers 109, Oklahoma City Thunder 120. The rating gap is 195 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Thunder on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2. The Thunder are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +6.8.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Offense against defense
The Clippers score 113 a game and allow 109.7. The Thunder score 111.3 and allow 100.8. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 106.9 for the Clippers and 110.5 for the Thunder, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Clippers' offense is the stronger unit against the Thunder's defense.
Injuries to watch
Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 8-0, with the Thunder outscoring the Clippers by an average of 13 points per game. The last meeting was LAC 101, OKC 108.