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Chicago Bulls at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and Win Meter

Chicago Bulls → Memphis Grizzlies →

Recent form is the story in Chicago Bulls at Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday, March 25. The Grizzlies have won 4 of their last 5, while the Bulls have won 1.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Grizzlies 66%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 113, Memphis Grizzlies 117. The rating gap is 11 points in favor of the Grizzlies, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.

The recent-form gap

The Bulls are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -19.2. The Grizzlies are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.6.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 132-101 on the road by HOU not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Bulls score 110.8 a game and allow 129.5. The Grizzlies score 116.8 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 108.9 for the Bulls and 123.2 for the Grizzlies, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Bulls have defended better than the Grizzlies have scored, so the Grizzlies may need to find offense elsewhere.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Bulls outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 124, MEM 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bulls1-4, -19.2 avg margin
Grizzlies4-1, +1.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
110.8
116.8
Points allowed
129.5
107
Matchup math
108.9
123.2
■ Bulls■ Grizzlies

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Grizzlies: about 123.2 points expected against 108.9.
  • The Grizzlies arrive in better form (L-W-W-W-W against L-L-W-L-L).
  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Grizzlies.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 28: CHI 124, MEM 125
  • Mar 16: MEM 107, CHI 132
  • Nov 23: MEM 142, CHI 131
  • Oct 28: CHI 126, MEM 123

Injury report

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Patrick Williams Day to day · back Oct 28
Memphis Grizzlies

No reported injuries.

Win Meter

34%
66%
BullsGrizzlies

Projected score: Bulls 113, Grizzlies 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

35%
65%
BullsGrizzlies

Matchup at a glance

CHIMEM
Record1-34-0
Last 5LLWLLLWWWW
Points per game110.8116.8
Allowed per game129.5107
Days of rest––
Rating13661377

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