The Win Meter favors the Nuggets on the road against the Nets on Thursday, March 25, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Nets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 73%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 118, Brooklyn Nets 112. The rating gap is 272 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -5.2. The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.
The Nuggets were beaten 134-114 at home by GSW not long ago.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Nuggets score 113 a game and allow 121.7. The Nets score 111 and allow 123.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 118.4 for the Nuggets and 116.4 for the Nets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Nets have been tough to score on, which should slow the Nuggets.
The Nuggets have defended better than the Nets have scored, so the Nets may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), and Grant Nelson (BKN).
Day to day or questionable: Cameron Johnson (DEN) and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 3-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Nets by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 103, DEN 107.