Milwaukee Bucks at LA Clippers on Wednesday, March 24 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Clippers about a 81% chance, and the Bucks would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 81%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 110, LA Clippers 119. The rating gap is 157 points in favor of the Clippers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Bucks are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Offense against defense
The Bucks score 116.8 a game and allow 122.3. The Clippers score 113 and allow 109.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 113.3 for the Bucks and 117.7 for the Clippers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bucks' offense is the stronger unit against the Clippers' defense.
The Bucks have defended better than the Clippers have scored, so the Clippers may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 3-1, with the Clippers outscoring the Bucks by an average of 12.8 points per game. The last meeting was LAC 127, MIL 113.