The Win Meter favors the Hawks on the road against the Kings on Wednesday, March 24, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 68%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 117, Sacramento Kings 112. The rating gap is 233 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hawks score 121 a game and allow 111.8. The Kings score 109.3 and allow 124. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 122.5 for the Hawks and 110.6 for the Kings, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 10, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 3-1, with the Hawks outscoring the Kings by an average of 9 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 113, ATL 123.