Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors on Wednesday, March 24 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Warriors at only 52%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 52%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 114, Golden State Warriors 115. The rating gap is 85 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 48 times in 100 games like this, the 76ers would win.
Recent form
The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Warriors are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -5.8.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Warriors' best recent win was 134-114 on the road against DEN.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The 76ers score 110 a game and allow 107. The Warriors score 117.3 and allow 120.8. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.4 for the 76ers and 112.2 for the Warriors, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Warriors have been tough to score on, which should slow the 76ers.
The Warriors should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI) and Joel Embiid (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the 76ers by an average of 1.8 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 113, GSW 94.