The Win Meter favors the Knicks at home against the Rockets on Wednesday, March 24, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Rockets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 74%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 111, New York Knicks 118. The rating gap is 86 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Rockets are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.8. The Knicks are 0-3 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Rockets score 120.8 a game and allow 111. The Knicks score 101.7 and allow 108. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 114.4 for the Rockets and 106.4 for the Knicks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Rockets' offense is the stronger unit against the Knicks' defense.
The Rockets have defended better than the Knicks have scored, so the Knicks may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Nov 2, 2026 and Jose Alvarado (NYK), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Marcus Smart (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Rockets outscoring the Knicks by an average of 5.2 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 94, HOU 111.