The Win Meter favors the Pacers at home against the Grizzlies on Wednesday, March 24, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pacers 65%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 113, Indiana Pacers 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.
Recent form
The Grizzlies are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.6. The Pacers are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 132-101 on the road by HOU not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 136-109 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Grizzlies score 116.8 a game and allow 107. The Pacers score 116.5 and allow 115. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.9 for the Grizzlies and 111.8 for the Pacers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pacers should find points against the Grizzlies' defense, which has been giving up 107.
Injuries to watch
Out: T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ivica Zubac (IND) and Andrew Nembhard (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 3-1, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Pacers by an average of 11.2 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 125, IND 106.