Our ratings lean toward the Trail Blazers at home against the Raptors on Tuesday, March 23, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Raptors are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 63%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 113, Portland Trail Blazers 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Raptors would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 29, 2026, and Jayson Kent (POR).
Day to day or questionable: Kawhi Leonard (TOR), Branden Carlson (POR), and Scoot Henderson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Raptors outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 0.7 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 110, POR 98.